Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.077568 4.854083 5.717936 6.747267 7.937275 9.266616 10.860718
2025-09-21 2.939308 3.930251 5.145971 6.735066 8.743838 11.183928 14.355725
2025-09-28 2.237373 3.299371 4.712629 6.704362 9.407561 12.912876 17.759525
2025-10-05 1.908566 3.054131 4.684354 7.126395 10.633788 15.420890 22.363312
2025-10-12 1.612916 2.780397 4.545325 7.336292 11.548349 17.557097 26.633463
2025-10-19 1.408824 2.597148 4.493245 7.638250 12.593651 19.936908 31.420773
2025-10-26 1.189233 2.341439 4.278920 7.643226 13.165375 21.646005 35.343922
2025-11-02 0.968889 2.038511 3.933933 7.377526 13.260017 22.611436 38.190983
2025-11-09 0.794508 1.783227 3.626189 7.122095 13.323132 23.504251 40.960299
2025-11-16 0.687342 1.636005 3.486725 7.134914 13.824653 25.122575 44.982694
2025-11-23 0.598325 1.507703 3.361349 7.151707 14.323766 26.761070 49.138094
2025-11-30 0.514564 1.373331 3.202269 7.080242 14.647553 28.112857 52.890601
2025-12-07 0.418995 1.193498 2.926209 6.751277 14.472813 28.605028 55.253181
2025-12-14 0.362251 1.094254 2.805512 6.720326 14.861430 30.131127 59.538934
2025-12-21 0.313634 1.004295 2.690376 6.684105 15.231615 31.645510 63.901686
2025-12-28 0.299506 1.003524 2.780579 7.103255 16.559002 35.042571 71.921225
2026-01-04 0.274361 0.966233 2.777452 7.312009 17.467086 37.698955 78.724004
2026-01-11 0.256456 0.946059 2.813186 7.612918 18.594578 40.854011 86.654593
2026-01-18 0.226697 0.882461 2.728086 7.617829 19.080441 42.771277 92.323395
2026-01-25 0.190038 0.786802 2.541982 7.352898 18.941327 43.416203 95.546539
2026-02-01 0.159342 0.702041 2.369977 7.098218 18.795542 44.027935 98.728628
2026-02-08 0.141624 0.658106 2.305843 7.110998 19.266709 45.952404 104.654755
2026-02-15 0.126154 0.618077 2.246262 7.127741 19.747100 47.925083 110.788318